Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.017895 1.148487 1.291196 1.459003 1.651283 1.865133 2.121566
2025-01-05 0.799886 0.971726 1.175426 1.435875 1.761713 2.158056 2.679971
2025-01-12 0.684889 0.873212 1.108729 1.427176 1.849975 2.396856 3.165589
2025-01-19 0.582340 0.771132 1.017411 1.365562 1.850420 2.509665 3.487422
2025-01-26 0.532623 0.729476 0.996136 1.388518 1.959225 2.771511 4.037624
2025-02-02 0.493521 0.696450 0.980728 1.414366 2.070336 3.043740 4.631989
2025-02-09 0.456447 0.661541 0.957613 1.424120 2.155390 3.282664 5.201136
2025-02-16 0.424039 0.629703 0.934870 1.430272 2.232878 3.514857 5.784786
2025-02-23 0.400915 0.609251 0.926565 1.456599 2.342988 3.808327 6.505157
2025-03-02 0.366697 0.568397 0.882593 1.420546 2.345368 3.920969 6.921254
2025-03-09 0.350102 0.553844 0.878676 1.449268 2.458838 4.233954 7.737922
2025-03-16 0.326894 0.526525 0.851411 1.435254 2.495196 4.412505 8.322371
2025-03-23 0.310569 0.509707 0.840832 1.450299 2.587212 4.706573 9.181321
2025-03-30 0.289742 0.483680 0.812506 1.431096 2.614089 4.881312 9.824983
2025-04-06 0.272653 0.462695 0.791065 1.422058 2.658469 5.093467 10.574805
2025-04-13 0.249195 0.428761 0.744001 1.360722 2.594334 5.080795 10.832762
2025-04-20 0.240112 0.419845 0.741305 1.383585 2.699948 5.427119 11.944473
2025-04-27 0.232091 0.412217 0.740263 1.409332 2.813700 5.803075 13.181268
2025-05-04 0.222555 0.401060 0.731671 1.419047 2.894466 6.116231 14.314835
2025-05-11 0.213282 0.389722 0.721823 1.425175 2.967843 6.420865 15.474066
2025-05-18 0.207006 0.383664 0.721712 1.451397 3.087901 6.846198 17.011275
2025-05-25 0.194231 0.364103 0.693505 1.415487 3.064146 6.930032 17.654988
2025-06-01 0.189243 0.359573 0.695114 1.444096 3.191701 7.393514 19.413784